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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBack00gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$74K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus90% (19 of 21 open)no open consensus position72% (75 of 104 open)65% (17 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)0%36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBack00gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $184K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $59K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6K—Magic $51K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K