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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ComingBack | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (3977–2523, n=6500) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #974 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (21 of 23 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Politics −6 pts, n=123 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 23% of 77) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 56% of 1748) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 67% of 2819) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 89% of 2903) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ComingBack | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $62K | — | — | No $184K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $2.0K | — | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $2.0K | — | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.0K | — | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $4.6K | — | — | Magic $51K |