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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Contentious-DinnerdateCORGIIRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (414–337, n=751)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$99K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus64% (43 of 67 open)25% (1 of 4 open)64% (21 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=50———
Settled positions, side won62% of 614 at avg 53¢, ROI +9%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 10% of 212)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 64% of 64)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 79% of 66)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 98% of 272)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketContentious-DinnerdateCORGIIRN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K