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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| DavidShekel | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (379–648, n=1027) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $169K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 71% (107 of 151 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 18% of 136) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 76% of 34) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 90% of 87) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 321) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DavidShekel | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $245 | — |
| Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | Yes $16 | — |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | No $191 | No $171 | — |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | No $15 | No $16 | — |