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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)33% (606–1240, n=1846)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$158K$4.1M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #393PM monthly #10PM monthly #97PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (29 of 43 open)66% (103 of 156 open)73% (111 of 152 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=19Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 18% of 143)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 77% of 35)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 94)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 352)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelFlaznorpndb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $351—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4—Yes $16—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2KNo $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192—No $173—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28No $115—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus Yes
No $16—No $17—