Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)32% (401–863, n=1264)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$136K$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #382PM monthly #105PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus81% (30 of 37 open)74% (81 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 18% of 136)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 76% of 34)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 90% of 87)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 321)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelndb1primm
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $351—
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4Yes $16—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192No $173—
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $16No $17—