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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 32% (401–863, n=1264) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $136K | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #381 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 24% (won 18% of 136) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 76% of 34) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 15% (won 90% of 87) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 56% (won 99% of 321) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.