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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dreamwire | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2698–437, n=3135) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (14 of 19 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=76 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 2532 at avg 81¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 325) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 130) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 66% of 154) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 1923) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dreamwire | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $407K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $532 | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $93 | Yes $258K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | Yes $11K | — | — |