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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (73 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $407K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $532—Yes $77K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $93—Yes $258K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $39K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $14K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $11K—