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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dropper | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (688–245, n=933) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #813 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −4 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1096 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 248) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 49% of 102) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 117) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 98% of 629) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dropper | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | No $32K |