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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DumplingBMF | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (1268–666, n=1934) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $250K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #534 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 82% (14 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=69 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 2172 at avg 65¢, ROI +6% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 13% of 174) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 50% of 446) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 68% of 592) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 960) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DumplingBMF | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $237 | Over $545 |