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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eatpraylove00gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (413–407, n=820)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$529K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #576 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus60% (34 of 57 open)no open consensus position89% (143 of 160 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL ±0 pts, n=39———
Settled positions, side won58% of 1182 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 438)0%10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 48% of 85)0%36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 74% of 76)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 583)0%19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEatpraylove00gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.0K—No $250K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $730—Yes $85K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9K—Yes $34K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K—No $32K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $30K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28K—Yes $170K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $90—Yes $6.8K—