Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EatprayloveCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (413–407, n=820)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$529K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #576 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (28 of 51 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position88% (131 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL ±0 pts, n=39———
Settled positions, side won58% of 1182 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 438)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 48% of 85)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 74% of 76)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 583)2% (won 100% of 7)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEatprayloveCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.2K——No $250K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $744——Yes $83K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9K——Yes $33K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——No $32K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $30K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $29K——Yes $172K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $90——Yes $6.8K