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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Electricy | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (390–230, n=620) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $181K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #502 + pinned | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 52% (25 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=110 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 576 at avg 62¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 15% of 52) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 31% of 117) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 57% of 192) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 89% of 215) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Electricy | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | — | Hawai'i $6.1K | UTEP $5.4K |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $953 | Texas Tech $830 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $138 | Texas Tech $317 |