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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
End123Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)63% (332–191, n=523)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$26K$4.1M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #816PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus87% (47 of 54 open)66% (104 of 158 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (111 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won64% of 443 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 13% of 62)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 42% of 45)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 63% of 135)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 85% of 201)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEnd123Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $117KYes $2.2M—
Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K——No $150
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $585——No $205
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $355——No $199
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2K—No $18K
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
same side · consensus No
No $653——No $243
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14——Yes $141
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $115