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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Fancyi | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–2, n=2) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$56K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (19 of 23 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 68 at avg 73¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 14% of 7) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 70% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 98% of 47) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Fancyi | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $102K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $468 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $590 | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.3K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.8K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $45 | Yes $2.2K | — | — |