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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Fancyi | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–2, n=2) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$56K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (19 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 68 at avg 73¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 14% of 7) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 70% of 10) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 98% of 47) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Fancyi | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $90K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $468 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.3K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.8K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $45 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |