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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlamePyroFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)62% (409–254, n=663)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$4.1M$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #756PM monthly #10PM monthly #54PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)64% (106 of 166 open)100% (4 of 4 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −19 pts, n=20Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 74)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 37% of 103)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 65% of 149)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 86% of 217)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlamePyroFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $47KMiami (FL) $965Notre Dame $169K—
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $35KWest Virginia $108——
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
UTEP $2.7KHawai'i $470——