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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorp0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$19.1M$13.4M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus64% (71 of 111 open)no open consensus position89% (8 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorp0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1joseph00677
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $7.7K—
FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13—Under $2.4K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $833—Mariano Navone $996—
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280—Yes $179—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $14K—Rafael Jodar $1.4K—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $11K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $1.8K—Xinyu Wang $1.8K—
Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $367—Yasmine Kabbaj $1.0K—
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $152—Under $98—