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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorp0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)46% (131–154, n=285)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$19.1M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (68 of 105 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)0% (won 17% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)42% (won 46% of 565)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)57% (won 51% of 766)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)0% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorp0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4RN1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K——No $7.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $843——Mariano Navone $850
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $272——Yes $179
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $14K——Rafael Jodar $1.4K
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $11K
Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $380——Yasmine Kabbaj $1.0K
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $152——Under $98