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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)51% (4635–4375, n=9010)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$5.3M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus73% (58 of 80 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1CORGII
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $7.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $6.1K—Lorenzo Musetti $46K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $6.2K—Ignacio Buse $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $10K—Mary Stoiana $21K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $5—Mariano Navone $3—