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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)28% (321–845, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #47PM monthly #83
Sides with the consensus68% (161 of 236 open)72% (63 of 87 open)75% (6 of 8 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%40% of 481 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)53% (won 3% of 257)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)7% (won 63% of 35)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 95% of 161)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmVale54holi
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $34K——
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578Under $6.4K——
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K—