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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppagliacci4primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$11K$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus74% (164 of 221 open)96% (24 of 25 open)54% (21 of 39 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppagliacci4primmS-Works
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $47K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5KNo $2.0K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Colts $5.7K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KYes $1.9K——
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $320—Commanders $285—