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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPLRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (633–585, n=1218)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)65% (86 of 132 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won81% of 444 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 81)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPLRN1BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $25Steelers $1.6KBrowns $259K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $51Browns $300K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $268Raiders $105K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $64—Yes $83K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $30—Bills $35K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $23Cardinals $32K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $611Cardinals $2.7K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $63—No $40K
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4Under $1.2K—