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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GayPrideCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)80% (401–100, n=501)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$654K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus57% (16 of 28 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (71 of 96 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won81% of 500 at avg 65¢, ROI +12%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 30% of 106)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 74% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 94% of 62)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 270)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGayPrideCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $219—No $10K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $234—Yes $2.2K—