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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| George.Smiley | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (144–49, n=193) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 61% (80 of 131 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 158 at avg 73¢, ROI +14% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 45% of 20) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 64% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 93% of 15) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 99% of 109) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | George.Smiley | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.5K | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $930 | — | No $35K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | — | Yes $274K |