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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GollumGekko | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (1343–636, n=1979) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $234K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #774 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (121 of 156 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 2114 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 12% of 377) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 57% of 80) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 76% of 145) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 98% of 1512) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GollumGekko | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $152 | No $253K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | No $16K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $699 | No $40K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $866 | Yes $28K | — |