← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GollumGekko | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (1349–645, n=1994) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $232K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #774 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (145 of 191 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 2115 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 12% of 378) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 57% of 80) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 76% of 145) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 98% of 1512) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GollumGekko | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | — | Yes $65 |