← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (745–1518, n=2263) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | $11.0M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #346 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (40 of 60 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=52 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1883) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gucky-45 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $425 | No $253K | — | — |
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | Yes $200 | — | — |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | Yes $200 | — | — |
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | Yes $200 | — | — |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | Yes $200 | — | — |