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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (61 of 120 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $15 | — | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $103 | — | Magic $76K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $145 | — | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $2 | — | Magic $13K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers same side · consensus Steelers | Browns $39 | — | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $97 | — | Raiders $171K | — |