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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| HerrieDavis | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (926–2525, n=3451) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$761K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (154 of 202 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (65 of 120 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 2291 at avg 53¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 30% of 695) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 93% of 245) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 387) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 964) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HerrieDavis | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | No $590 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $265 | Yes $1.1K | — |