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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardCORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (3464–2954, n=6418)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus57% (29 of 51 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 95% of 37)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 100% of 819)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 100% of 1319)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 547)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardCORGII00gringo00primm
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $42K——Rams $849
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.8K——Under $250
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $541——Rams $1.0K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $6.3K——Broncos $6.8K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Over $3.2K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $2.8K——Patriots $1.3K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $737——Over $4