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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3505–2989, n=6494) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (15 of 17 open) | 38% (5 of 13 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $35K | — | Commanders $188K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $39K | Commanders $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $25K | Eagles $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $4.4K | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.9K | Under $134 | — | — |