← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3464–2954, n=6418) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (31 of 53 open) | 67% (22 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $13K | Magic $228 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | Under $228 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $9.2K | Celtics $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.2K | Magic $10 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $338 | Under $213 | — | — |