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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JJo | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (688–424, n=1112) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $263K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (36 of 40 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=297 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1360 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 423) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 32% of 87) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 58% of 91) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 759) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JJo | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $984 | No $278K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $22K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $48K | No $166K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $920 | No $112K | — | — |