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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JoeBlack01 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (299–208, n=507) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (21 of 31 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=49 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 620 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 12% of 142) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 47% of 81) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 89) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 308) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JoeBlack01 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.2K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $25K | — | — |