Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KaczkaRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (427–397, n=824)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$15K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)63% (102 of 161 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +28 pts n=415, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 68% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 72% of 121)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 88% of 340)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 92% of 60)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKaczkaRN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $44No $146