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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpKaczkaRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)51% (438–426, n=864)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$12K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #997PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (97 of 135 open)75% (3 of 4 open)61% (44 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +28 pts n=437, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=90, ROI +18%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%83% of 580 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 69% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)23% (won 71% of 134)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)61% (won 87% of 356)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 92% of 64)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpKaczkaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $5.0K—Magic $644
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2K—Suns $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $1.0K—Magic $180
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $8.9K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $2.2K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
Katie Swan $847—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.7K—Suns $258
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $502—Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $16—Southern Miss $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $135—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
Han Shi $11—Han Shi $156