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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LadyLuck2BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (249–191, n=440)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$222K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)73% (72 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)70% (7 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=30———
Settled positions, side won55% of 474 at avg 50¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 11% of 165)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 54% of 54)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 73% of 90)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 90% of 165)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLadyLuck2BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K