← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (94 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30 | — | — | Yes $861 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $676 | — | — | No $15K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $188 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $31 | — | — | Over $857 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $172 | — | — | No $73 |