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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Lilybaeum | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (5627–4149, n=9776) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (17 of 22 open) | 61% (79 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa opposite sides · consensus Eero Vasa | Andrej Martin $142 | Eero Vasa $2.8K |
| Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. OFI Crete: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6 | Under $17 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $525 | Over $17K |
| Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | No $13K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | No $6.4K |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $397 | No $6.0K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $181 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $20 | Yes $520 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Liverpool FC $187 | Liverpool FC $51 |
| Will FC Groningen vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $110 | Yes $15 |
| Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $23 | No $100 |
| Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $71 | Under $17 |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $12 | Yes $48 |