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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (5627–4149, n=9776) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (11 of 27 open) | 62% (94 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.0K | Over $30K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa opposite sides · consensus Eero Vasa | Andrej Martin $142 | Eero Vasa $4.7K | — |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $2.7K | — |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $861 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $41 | No $530 | — |
| Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $59 | Under $33 | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $4.0K | No $24K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | No $14K | — |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | No $5.4K | — |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $44 | Over $4.9K | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $181 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.9K | — |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $298 | No $3.1K | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $97 | Under $2.4K | — |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $160 | No $737 | — |
| Spread: PAOK Thessaloniki (-1.5) same side · consensus PAOK Thessaloniki | PAOK Thessaloniki $137 | PAOK Thessaloniki $674 | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $49 | Yes $320 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $162 | No $70 | — |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Liverpool FC $187 | Liverpool FC $5 | — |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $38 | Over $100 | — |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $76 | Yes $2 | — |
| Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $39 | Yes $38 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $36 | No $15 | — |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $26 | Under $15 | — |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $29 | Yes $2 | — |