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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LlalalalaBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)62% (43–26, n=69)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$412K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)72% (77 of 107 open)0% (0 of 4 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −2 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won74% of 95 at avg 71¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 18% of 11)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 44% of 9)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 67% of 9)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 88% of 66)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLlalalalaBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K