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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LornaPredictsBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)13% (1178–7684, n=8862)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$22K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #776PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (132 of 264 open)90% (148 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +3 pts n=83, ROI 0%
  • MMA +4 pts n=13, ROI −1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −4 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢95% (won 2% of 4189)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 65)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 50% of 42)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 79% of 110)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLornaPredictsBreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $9.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $7.2K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $2.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $1.3K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $1.3K
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $273