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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Loyalty-Crash | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (32–21, n=53) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (17 of 23 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 28% of 18) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 63% of 8) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 75% of 12) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 88% of 25) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Loyalty-Crash | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $734 | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $43K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.9K | — | — | Yes $85K |