← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Loyalty-Crash | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (32–21, n=53) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (16 of 23 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 28% of 18) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 63% of 8) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 75% of 12) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 88% of 25) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Loyalty-Crash | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $724 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $43K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.5K | — | — | Yes $81K |