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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimendb1RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (619–570, n=1189)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$2.9K$4.1M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #789PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus70% (35 of 50 open)72% (28 of 39 open)57% (30 of 53 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 63)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 83)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 201)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimendb1RN1sainttroplay
Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
Juan Pablo Varillas $1.2K—Filip Misolic $9.6K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Trevor Svajda
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Trevor Svajda $37—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Bratislava 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.7K—Shintaro Mochizuki $20—
Deportivo Pereira vs. CD Tolima: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $958—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos
opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina $819—Norbert Gombos $24—
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $24—Rebeka Masarova $15—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $11K—Casper Ruud $39K—
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Franco Roncadelli $25K—Franco Roncadelli $10K—
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert
same side · consensus Simona Waltert
Simona Waltert $5.2K—Simona Waltert $9.0K—
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian $4.7K—Valerio Aboian $8.0K—
Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina Papamichail
same side · consensus Despina Papamichail
Despina Papamichail $2.9K—Despina Papamichail $6.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
Lautaro Midon $2.2K—Lautaro Midon $4.2K—
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
Kimmer Coppejans $464—Kimmer Coppejans $3.1K—
Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
same side · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Luis Felipe Miguel $46—Luis Felipe Miguel $1.6K—
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $784—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710—
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $408—Bianca Andreescu $837—
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $365—No $422—
Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera
same side · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
Sofia Costoulas $49—Sofia Costoulas $70—