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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MaxVisionbeachboy4RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (53–67, n=120)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$12K$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)53% (56 of 105 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMentions −23 pts, n=16NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won44% of 136 at avg 41¢, ROI +8%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 19% of 63)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 18)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 54% of 26)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 90% of 29)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMaxVisionbeachboy4RN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K