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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Michael-The-Taxiarchndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (49–41, n=90)65% (876–462, n=1338)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$29K$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #535PM monthly #11PM monthly #60PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)79% (19 of 24 open)58% (79 of 137 open)51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −4 pts, n=14NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won45% of 93 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 7% of 44)13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 50% of 12)20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 10)24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 96% of 27)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMichael-The-Taxiarchndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $941
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
opposite sides · consensus Yujia Huang
——Sohyun Park $13Yujia Huang $2.1K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $65No $1.5K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $662
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
——Yuki Naito $9Sara Saito $424
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
——Aoi Ito $40Katie Swan $299
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
——Haruna Arakawa $36Yuzuha Negishi $105
W35 Hamamatsu: Himari Sato vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Mio Mushika
——Himari Sato $32Mio Mushika $105
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
——Naho Sato $78Jia-Jing Lu $32
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
——Alisa Oktiabreva $65Antonia Stoyanov $11