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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Monopoly_MoneyBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)77% (161–47, n=208)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$22K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #832PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus83% (10 of 12 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=27———
Settled positions, side won75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 18% of 33)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 79% of 19)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 71% of 31)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 94% of 102)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMonopoly_MoneyBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11KYes $169K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $36KYes $272K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $90K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $18KNo $40K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KYes $4.1K——